tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-293100068373105830.post6796158791744661083..comments2024-03-06T00:22:02.079-08:00Comments on The Amateur Planner: MBTA ridership and demand elasticityArihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06058285362842737187noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-293100068373105830.post-72243206184611658872012-12-27T07:45:22.402-08:002012-12-27T07:45:22.402-08:00@anon Yes, but they predicted 5-6% drops, when in ...@anon Yes, but they predicted 5-6% drops, when in fact there are slight rises. See <a href="http://www.universalhub.com/files/mbtachart201212.pdf" rel="nofollow">these charts</a> (PDF). Also note that while The Ride is down 20%, it's still above 2008 and 2009 levels. Arihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06058285362842737187noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-293100068373105830.post-50264888088600904522012-09-13T21:38:08.429-07:002012-09-13T21:38:08.429-07:00Something funny has happened with paratransit (suc...Something funny has happened with paratransit (such as "The Ride"); it was originally supposed to be a temporary "patchup" until all the buses and rail lines and sidewalks and so forth were wheelchair-accessible, had tactile warning strips and audible announcements, etc. It was supposed to be expensive for cities like NY which refused to upgrade their buses, rail lines, sidewalks, etc.... sort of a penalty for ignoring the ADA....<br /><br />But it's clearly being used by an additional and different group of people now, because a lot (not enough) of the accessibility work for the regular system has actually been *done* in Boston, and yet paratransit ridership keeps going up.neroden@gmailhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07475686367097445497noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-293100068373105830.post-58791251969460843592012-09-06T06:41:09.661-07:002012-09-06T06:41:09.661-07:00Although the predicted decline was 5.5%. I assume ...Although the predicted decline was 5.5%. I assume this was taking recent gains in to account. What's interesting is that subway declined more than commuter rail.Arihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06058285362842737187noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-293100068373105830.post-58548295048416406712012-08-31T13:43:33.033-07:002012-08-31T13:43:33.033-07:00The fact that its too early tell is the punchline ...The fact that its too early tell is the punchline here. But the .1% drop is actually obscuring that the elasticity measures predicting total ridership decline were pretty decent. YOY for June was +5.7%, for May +2.9%, etc. So, against that trend, which is the proper comparator, this is actually a decrease.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com